Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.056755 0.067236 0.078995 0.093146 0.109698 0.128431 0.151225
2025-04-27 0.041027 0.054619 0.071601 0.094307 0.123794 0.160710 0.210351
2025-05-04 0.031735 0.046303 0.066105 0.094828 0.135248 0.189894 0.269139
2025-05-11 0.025918 0.040820 0.062539 0.096234 0.146872 0.219744 0.332068
2025-05-18 0.022247 0.037439 0.060959 0.099618 0.161072 0.254326 0.405676
2025-05-25 0.018115 0.032418 0.055829 0.096408 0.164309 0.272439 0.456323
2025-06-01 0.015476 0.029287 0.053064 0.096300 0.172059 0.298017 0.521318
2025-06-08 0.013179 0.026288 0.049953 0.094956 0.177270 0.319706 0.582113
2025-06-15 0.011810 0.024724 0.049072 0.097305 0.189034 0.353607 0.667497
2025-06-22 0.010240 0.022474 0.046534 0.096127 0.194065 0.376007 0.734777
2025-06-29 0.008790 0.020196 0.043565 0.093612 0.196092 0.392932 0.793626
2025-07-06 0.007521 0.018067 0.040549 0.090509 0.196436 0.406517 0.847377
2025-07-13 0.006824 0.017106 0.039868 0.092261 0.207075 0.441767 0.948594
2025-07-20 0.006128 0.016024 0.038765 0.092955 0.215620 0.473894 1.047488
2025-07-27 0.005504 0.014998 0.037622 0.093372 0.223587 0.505688 1.149291
2025-08-03 0.005018 0.014225 0.036941 0.094737 0.233814 0.543372 1.267835
2025-08-10 0.004697 0.013821 0.037080 0.098066 0.248975 0.593459 1.419034
2025-08-17 0.004082 0.012500 0.034725 0.094903 0.248301 0.607986 1.491944
2025-08-24 0.003687 0.011723 0.033644 0.094796 0.255037 0.640208 1.609048
2025-08-31 0.003289 0.010856 0.032183 0.093473 0.258526 0.665130 1.711615
2025-09-07 0.003076 0.010507 0.032081 0.095787 0.271664 0.714689 1.878834
2025-09-14 0.002762 0.009778 0.030794 0.094626 0.275470 0.741647 1.993255
2025-09-21 0.002442 0.008967 0.029132 0.092149 0.275372 0.758736 2.084674